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New climate predictions increase likelihood of temporarily reaching 1.5 °C in next 5 years

27.5.2021|Vreme

Geneva, 27 May 2021 (WMO) - There is about a 40% chance of the annual average global temperature temporarily reaching 1.5?C?above the pre-industrial level?in at least one of the next five years ? and these odds are increasing with time, according to a new climate update issued by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
There is a 90% likelihood of at least one year between 2021-2025 becoming the warmest on record, which would dislodge 2016 from the top ranking, according to the Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update, produced by the United Kingdom?s Met Office, the WMO lead...

Space observations support sustainable development

26.5.2021|Vreme

Space-based observations are key to achieving the international agenda on sustainable development, disaster risk reduction and climate change and it is thus imperative to ensure there is a stable and sustainable space-environment.
This was one of the take-home messages of a high-level panel event on civil space issues organized by the French diplomatic mission to Geneva and hosted by the World Meteorological Organization. It brought together the heads of WMO, the International Telecommunications Union, UN Office on Outer Space Affairs and the European Space Agency, as well as the Chief...

Regional Association for Asia supports WMO priorities

26.5.2021|Vreme

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) Regional Association for Asia (RAII) has held a virtual session with a focus on how to improve service delivery, disaster risk reduction, and climate resilience.
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NOAA predicts another above-normal hurricane season

21.5.2021|Vreme

Another above-normal Atlantic hurricane season is expected this year, even as many communities in the Caribbean, Central America and United States of America are still recovering from the record-breaking 2020 season, compounded by the challenges of the COVID-19 pandemic.
NOAA?s?Climate Prediction Center?forecast a 60% chance of an above-normal season, a 30% chance of a near-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season. However, experts do not anticipate the historic level of storm activity seen in 2020.?
For 2021, a likely range of 13 to 20 named storms (winds...

Arctic assessment report shows faster rate of warming

20.5.2021|Vreme

New observations show that the increase in Arctic average surface temperature between 1979 and 2019 was three times higher than the global average during this period ? higher than previously reported - according to the Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP).
Climate change impacts on Arctic communities, ecosystems and species, especially when associated with extreme events, are considerable and accelerating. Sea ice loss, glacier retreat and reduced snow cover remobilizes previously deposited contaminants. While climate change is mainly driven by carbon dioxide emissions,...

Energy pathway to net zero by 2050

18.5.2021|Vreme

The world has a viable pathway to building a global energy sector with net-zero emissions in 2050, but it is narrow and requires an unprecedented transformation of how energy is produced, transported and used globally, the International Energy Agency said in a new landmark special report.
Climate pledges by governments to date ? even if fully achieved ? would fall well short of what is required to bring global energy-related carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions to net zero by 2050 and give the world an even chance of limiting the global temperature rise to 1.5??C, according to the new...

Early warning initiative advances in a pandemic

11.5.2021|Vreme

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Geneva, 11 May 2021:?The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated impacts of extreme weather and climate change in...

WMO Aerosols Bulletin focuses on fires

10.5.2021|Vreme

A new World Meteorological Organization bulletin on Aerosols examines the impact of biomass burning (wildfires and open burning for agriculture) on climate and air quality. It covers the episodes of the 2019/2020 Australian bushfires, the 2015 Indonesia peatfires and smoke transport from boreal forest fires to the Arctic.
Worldwide fire activity evolves continually throughout the year and many regions of the world have relatively clearly defined fire seasons that do not vary significantly from one year to another. This is generally most apparent in tropical regions where fire conditions...

Global methane assessment released

7.5.2021|Vreme

A Global Methane Assessment released by the Climate and Clean Air Coalition (CCAC) and the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) shows that human-caused methane emissions can be reduced by up to 45 per cent this decade.
Such reductions would avoid nearly 0.3?C of global warming by 2045 and would be consistent with keeping the Paris Climate Agreement?s goal to limit global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius (1.5?C) within reach.
The?assessment, for the first time, integrates the climate and air pollution costs and benefits from methane mitigation. Because methane is a key...

Updated 30-year reference period reflects changing climate

5.5.2021|Vreme

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has updated the U.S. Climate Normals?to the ?1991-2020 baseline period ?to provide a most recent baseline for climate information and services to climate-sensitive sectors and a standard reference to compare variations in temperature, precipitation etc to the 30-year average.
The move is in line with a World Meteorological Organization recommendation that the 30-year standard reference periods should be updated every decade in order to better reflect the the changing climate and its influence on our day-to-day weather...

WMO joins Emergency Alerting Call to Action

29.4.2021|Vreme

WMO has joined with the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) and the International Telecommunications Union (ITU) to issue a joint Call to Action to improve availability and use of standardized emergency alerts.
The heads of the three organizations endorsed the call to ?collectively scale up our efforts to ensure that by 2025 all countries have the capability for effective, authoritative emergency alerting that leverages the Common Alerting Protocol (CAP), suitable for all media and all hazards.?
Every year, disasters lead to tragic loss of lives and...

Normal to above normal rainfall forecast for southwest monsoon season

28.4.2021|Vreme

Normal to above normal rainfall is most likely during the 2021 southwest monsoon season (June ? September) over most parts of South Asia, according to an authoritative seasonal forecast from the South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF) released on 27 April.
Geographically, above-normal rainfall is most likely over some areas of the North West, along the foothills of Himalayas and North East parts of the region, and many areas of central part of the region. It is most likely to be below normal over many areas over extreme northwest, north East and some areas over north-eastern parts of...

Asia-Pacific region urged to “build back better”

27.4.2021|Vreme

The United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP) is holding its 77th session with a focus on how to ?build back better? from the COVID-19 pandemic.
?The attainment of the Sustainable Development Goals in Asia and the Pacific is at stake,? said Armida Salsiah Alisjahbana, United Nations Under-Secretary-General and Executive Secretary of ESCAP. She noted that the health crisis, together with measures to mitigate its impacts, have deeply affected countries of Asia and the Pacific, both economically and socially, over the past year.
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CMA upgrades global numerical weather prediction GRAPES_GFS Model - China Meteorological Administration

27.4.2021|Vreme

In April 2021, China Meteorological Administration (CMA) began the operation of an upgraded global numerical weather prediction (NWP) system ? GRAPES_GFS V3.1. The major physical improvements are outlined as follows:?1.?Methane Oxidation Scheme - 2.?Land surface model -?3.?Moist physical processes
Read more >>?

The 2021 “AI Earth” Artificial Intelligence Innovation Challenge

27.4.2021|Vreme

The 2021 ?AI Earth? Artificial Intelligence Innovation Challenge?AI Helps Accurate Weather and Ocean Forecast was organized in early February 2021 by WMO RTC Nanjing and International Association of Meteorological Education and Sciences (IAMES), an international consortium advocated by Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology (NUIST) and supported by over 30 universities and institutes focusing on Atmospheric Science, Hydrology, Environmental Science and other Meteorology related disciplines. On April 22, 2021, during the World Earth Day, the Final of the Competition was held...

Leaders Summit on Climate spurs emissions targets

23.4.2021|Vreme

US President Biden unveiled a new target for a 50-52 percent reduction in U.S. greenhouse gas pollution from 2005 levels by 2030, as world leaders pledged more ambitious action to tackle accelerating climate change.
The announcement was made during the Leaders Summit on Climate convened on Earth Day by President Biden, who immediately rejoined the Paris Agreement upon assuming office in January and set a course for the United States to reach net zero emissions by no later than 2050. He also launched a whole-of-government process, organized through his National Climate Task Force, to...

Photo competition on climate change impacts and solutions

21.4.2021|Vreme

Climate change affects our societies and environment in many ways. Tackling climate change requires cutting emissions to mitigate its worst impacts and adapting to those we cannot stop. Opening today, European Environment Agency’s (EEA) photo competition ‘Climate Change PIX’ invites participants to depict what climate change looks like in Europe and how we are responding to it.

2021 is “make or break year” for Climate Action

20.4.2021|Vreme

2021 must?be the year for climate action ? ?the make it or break it year,? said United Nations Secretary-General Ant?nio Guterres at the launch of WMO?s report on the State of the Global Climate 2020 which highlighted accelerating climate change indicators and worsening impacts.
???This is a frightening report.?It needs to be read by all leaders and decision-makers in the world,? Mr Guterres told journalists.
?This report shows that 2020 was also another unprecedented year of extreme weather and climate disasters.?The cause is clear.?Anthropogenic climate...

Monthly Weather Summary - March 2021 - Kingdom of Bahrain

16.4.2021|Vreme

March 2021 was warmer than normal in temperatures and below-average precipitation.?The mean temperature of the month was 23.1?C which is 1.8?C above the long-term normal for March and this goes on record as the fourth-highest mean monthly temperature for March since 1902 and exceeded by March 2018 with a record of 24.6?C, March 1969 with a record of 24.2?C and March 2010 with a record of 23.7?C.
Read more >>?

Monthly Weather Summary - March 2021 - Kingdom of Bahrain

16.4.2021|Vreme

March 2021 was warmer than normal in temperatures and below-average precipitation.?The mean temperature of the month was 23.1?C which is 1.8?C above the long-term normal for March and this goes on record as the fourth-highest mean monthly temperature for March since 1902 and exceeded by March 2018 with a record of 24.6?C, March 1969 with a record of 24.2?C and March 2010 with a record of 23.7?C.
Read more >>?

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